Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000537 0.000615 0.000698 0.000793 0.000897 0.001009 0.001138
2025-07-13 0.000426 0.000536 0.000661 0.000814 0.000993 0.001196 0.001442
2025-07-20 0.000365 0.000490 0.000639 0.000828 0.001059 0.001330 0.001670
2025-07-27 0.000310 0.000441 0.000605 0.000821 0.001094 0.001424 0.001850
2025-08-03 0.000264 0.000397 0.000570 0.000806 0.001114 0.001496 0.002000
2025-08-10 0.000236 0.000373 0.000556 0.000815 0.001161 0.001601 0.002192
2025-08-17 0.000210 0.000348 0.000539 0.000816 0.001197 0.001690 0.002365
2025-08-24 0.000180 0.000312 0.000504 0.000789 0.001191 0.001723 0.002466
2025-08-31 0.000154 0.000282 0.000473 0.000765 0.001187 0.001756 0.002563
2025-09-07 0.000138 0.000264 0.000458 0.000763 0.001211 0.001827 0.002713
2025-09-14 0.000125 0.000249 0.000446 0.000763 0.001239 0.001902 0.002870
2025-09-21 0.000111 0.000232 0.000429 0.000755 0.001253 0.001958 0.003000
2025-09-28 0.000097 0.000214 0.000410 0.000741 0.001258 0.002002 0.003116
2025-10-05 0.000092 0.000209 0.000412 0.000762 0.001316 0.002123 0.003345
2025-10-12 0.000085 0.000202 0.000410 0.000775 0.001362 0.002227 0.003550
2025-10-19 0.000076 0.000190 0.000397 0.000768 0.001376 0.002285 0.003690
2025-10-26 0.000067 0.000175 0.000380 0.000754 0.001378 0.002324 0.003803
2025-11-02 0.000062 0.000169 0.000376 0.000763 0.001416 0.002418 0.003997
2025-11-09 0.000057 0.000161 0.000369 0.000764 0.001442 0.002493 0.004166
2025-11-16 0.000049 0.000146 0.000347 0.000739 0.001423 0.002498 0.004229
2025-11-23 0.000042 0.000133 0.000327 0.000716 0.001406 0.002506 0.004295
2025-11-30 0.000038 0.000126 0.000320 0.000713 0.001424 0.002568 0.004445
2025-12-07 0.000035 0.000120 0.000313 0.000714 0.001446 0.002637 0.004608